At the beginning of November, the papers were reporting that a plane capable to reaching Sydney, Australia from London, UK in just four hours. This was too exciting not to look into. So here's what happened.
The UK government recently promised £60million to Reaction Engines in order to build the Synergetic Air-Breathing Rocket Engine, also known as SABRE, a plane that can theoretically travel from London to Sydney in four hours. The hybrid engine will be able to function in both in space and within the Earth's atmosphere and can reach just under 4,000mph. Reaction Engines have been designing this for twenty years, so why is this big news? And what does it mean for the rest of us?
According to the media, a full ground based test is planned for 2020. This is good news. We'll probably have to add another decade onto that before we see them in public use. Even 15 years will fly by. This has great potential for global tourism and commerce, making those long gruelling 24-hour flights to Australia a thing of the past. Maybe.
Passenger Flights
When it comes to passenger flights, I suspect one of two things will happen:
Prices will be astronomically high, standard flight prices will be roughly the same.
This will be true if these new planes are only sold to a select few airliners. Reaction Engines is a British company, so it is possible that the UK will have a monopoly over this product and service, which would explain why the £60mil investment has been granted in a 'debt-ridden' country.
Prices will be reasonably high, but will push standard flight prices down.
If Reaction Engines open their business to other countries, we should hopefully see competition and government policy keep prices reasonable. With such short journeys to anywhere in the world, every government of a developed country will want a piece of the action. Trade and tourism are major financiers of large cities, which are a huge proportion of the economy.
Looking a bit further forward, here is a great opportunity for public space flight.
The hybrid engine brings commercial space flight that little bit closer. Richard Branson's Virgin Galactic has encountered a few pitfalls in its plan to get the public to space, with the original deadline passing 8 years ago. With governments paying attention and investing in this technology, I may theoretically be able to see the Earth from the Moon in my lifetime, though I doubt I'd be able to pay for it in my lifetime.
Skepticism
Sounding too good to be true, I couldn't resist digging a little deeper to find that... actually, no-one beyond the media has mentioned space flight. In fact not much of the intention of this investment has been released at all. We all seem to be assuming that this will be used primarily as a tourism and therefore economical boost, but it seems the 'London to Sydney in four hours' statement it merely just a comparison showing how fast the place will be able to fly. So all of this excitement about boarding a UK flight in the morning and stepping off the plane in Australia in the afternoon may be for nothing. Reaction Engines are open about what they can achieve with this project, and on one news item on their site tells us that the UK are investing in order to 'investigate it's application for space access vehicles', so there is a shred of hope for public space flight. However, the same news item also shows us a red flag, something we should really be talking about rather than fantasizing about short flights down under.
BAE Systems invests over £20million in Reaction Engines
That's right, back in November, the giant Defence company BAE Systems invested £20.6million and agreed to a working collaboration in order to speed up development. Oh and they also now have a 20% stake in Reaction Engines. Take one look at the BAE Systems 'What We Do' page and tell me what this new technology will be used for. Services include: Design, manufacture, upgrade and support combat aircraft, land combat vehicles, ships, military electronics, oh and of course HR and IT. Looking at their website, it's hard to find any service that doesn't contain the word 'military'. Though under the 'Future Technologies' tab, we see the statement:
"Partnering with academic and industrial leaders we develop new technologies to support our future product strategies."
Future product strategies eh? Unless BAE Systems is planning on entering the commercial travel industry, I think we can put our 4-hour dream flights to Australia on the back burner.
History has taught us, unfortunately, that technological advances aren't always used for the good of everyone. I have yet to see a constructive use for nuclear weapons (though this article gives a few ideas). The military-industrial complex will inevitably have big plans for this technology.
We can only hope for (and work towards) a day where military and security companies do not hold such influence over the technologies that come to pass.
No comments:
Post a Comment